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Table 1 Key inputs for the Markov model

From: Cost-effectiveness of abemaciclib plus endocrine therapy in high-risk HR+/HER2–early breast cancer in China

Model inputs

Value

Distribution

Low

High

Source

Direct costs per cycle

     

 Abemaciclib

748.90

GAMMA

524.23

748.90

MENET

 Letrozole

11.66

GAMMA

8.87

112.14

MENET

 Follow-up visit for 1 to 2 years

125.42

GAMMA

100.34

150.51

Health care document

 Follow-up visit for 3 to 5 years

73.16

GAMMA

58.53

87.80

Health care document

 Follow-up visit after 5 years

24.39

GAMMA

19.51

29.51

Health care document

 Administration

72.64

GAMMA

58.11

87.17

Health care document

 Treatment for nonmetastatic recurrences

476.80

GAMMA

381.44

572.15

[27], MENET

 Treatment for metastatic recurrence

444.00

GAMMA

355.20

532.80

[27], MENET

 End-of-life care

2,689.86

GAMMA

1,596.00

2,394.00

[28]

Costs of AEs per cycle

     

 Diarrhea

0.42

GAMMA

0.33

0.50

Expert opinion, MENET

 Neutropenia

8.61

GAMMA

6.89

10.34

Expert opinion, MENET

 Lymphopenia

3.57

GAMMA

2.85

4.28

Expert opinion, MENET

Risk of AEs in ABE + ET

     

 Diarrhea

0.078

BETA

0.070

0.086

monarchE trial

 Neutropenia

0.196

BETA

0.176

0.216

monarchE trial

 Lymphopenia

0.054

BETA

0.049

0.059

monarchE trial

Health state utility (per year)

     

 iDFS

0.965

BETA

0.744

0.980

[23, 41, 42]

 Nonmetastatic

0.766

BETA

0.725

0.780

[19, 23, 42]

 Remission

0.850

BETA

0.700

0.850

[19, 43]

 Distant metastases

0.642

BETA

0.615

0.690

[19, 23, 41]

Disutilities of AEs (per year)

     

 Diarrhea

0.103

BETA

0.124

0.082

[32]

 Neutropenia

0.090

BETA

0.108

0.072

[31]

 Lymphopenia

0.090

BETA

0.108

0.072

[31]

AEs duration (days)

     

 Diarrhea

2

CONSTANT

/

/

[44]

 Neutropenia

2

CONSTANT

/

/

[31]

 Lymphopenia

2

CONSTANT

/

/

[31]

Cost discount rate

5%

CONSTANT

0%

8%

[45]

Outcome discount rate

5%

CONSTANT

0%

8%

[45]

  1. Experts here refer to two clinical oncologist experts in China with more than 10 years of clinical experience in the treatment of breast cancer
  2. AE: adverse event; ABE + ET: abemaciclib + endocrine therapy; iDFS: invasive disease-free survival