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Table 1 Transition probabilities, costs, and QALYs used to populate the base case model of IMA vs X-ray in aseptic loosening of hip implants

From: Cost-effectiveness of implant movement analysis in aseptic loosening after hip replacement: a health-economic model

 

Value

Transition probability

 

 Probability of being loose for aseptic loosening after X-ray

0.7

 Probability of being not loose after X-ray

0.15

 Probability of uncertain diagnosis after X-ray

0.15

 Probability of having revision surgery after diagnosed as loose (X-ray)

0.75

 Probability of having another treatment after diagnosed as loose (X-ray)

0.25

 Probability of being loose for aseptic loosening after an X-ray (follow-up)

0.3

 Probability of being not loose after a second X-ray (follow-up)

0.7

 Probability of having revision surgery after diagnosed as loose (X-ray follow-up)

0.75

 Probability of having another treatment after diagnosed as loose (X-ray follow-up)

0.25

 Probability of being loose after IMA

0.3

 Probability of being not loose after IMA

0.7

 Probability of having revision surgery after diagnosed as loose (IMA)

0.75

 Probability of having another treatment after diagnosed as loose (IMA)

0.25

Costs

 X-ray

SEK 1029

 Physician visit

SEK 2635

 IMA

SEK 9000

 Surgery

SEK 152,187

 CT

SEK 4353

 Follow-up

SEK 5318

 Other treatment

SEK 5318

HRQoL estimates—Baseline value assumed equal for all: 0.62

Parameters

6 months

12 months

18 months

24 months

QALYs

Reference

Immediate necessary surgery

0.68

0.74

0.8

0.8

1.465

Konopka et al. [25]

Needed surgery (receiving nothing or other treatment)

0.5672

0.5144

0.4616

0.4088

1.0288

Mota [26]

Necessary surgery delayed 1 year

0.5672

0.5144

0.6308

0.7472

1.198

Mota [26]–Konopka et al. [25]

No surgery, receiving other treatment

0.65

0.65

0.65

0.65

1.2925

Jönsson et al. [27]

  1. SEK: Swedish krona, HRQoL: Health-related quality of life, QALYs: Adjusted Quality Life Years. IMA: Implant Movement Analysis, CT: Computed tomography