Intervention | 20% SSB tax | Mandatory kJ menu labelling | Change in consumption levels related to supermarket food purchase | Change in national consumption levels back to the 1975 average levels of energy intake |
---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Total, mean | Total, mean | Total, mean | Total, mean |
 | (95% UI) | (95% UI) | (95% UI) | (95% UI) |
HALYs gained over the lifetime | 203,266 | 151,718 | 3,677,675 | 13,108,472 |
 | (163,752–249,621) | (55,257–250,412) | (2,661,365–4,789,915) | (11,404,317–15,152,341) |
LYs gained over the lifetime | 124,970 | 104,945 | 2,569,421 | 9,356,747 |
 | (95,712–160,157) | (37,962–177,605) | (1,785,831–3,533,570) | (7,670,302–11,471,801) |
HALYs gained by the year 2030 | 7,134 | 5,761 | 14,681 | 48,770 |
 | (5,810–8,628) | (2,071–9,441) | (10,854–18,507) | (44,646–53,186) |
HALYs gained by the year 2044 | 39,424 | 29,756 | 417,782 | 1,403,031 |
 | (31,942–47,744) | (10,643–48,531) | (307,424–531,865) | (1,264,258–1,556,872) |
Deaths* avoided by the year 2030 | 623 | 608 | 2,175 | 7,362 |
 | (484–782) | (217–1,009) | (1,509–2,937) | (6,129–8,817) |
Deaths avoided by the year 2044 | 3,246 | 2,744 | 53,709 | 185,869 |
 | (2,506–4,118) | (981–4,594) | (37,558–72,694) | (155,703–222,881) |