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Table 5 Per-member per-month 3-year budget impact results from scenario analyses

From: Budget impact analysis of a digital monitoring platform for COPD

Costs, USD

Base case

Scenario 1A

Scenario 1B

Scenario 2A

Scenario 2B

Commercial perspective

     

 Budget impact

− 1.60

0.49

0.14

0.50

− 0.55

 Propeller

0.13

0.13

0.13

0.13

0.13

 Hospitalizations

− 1.37

− 0.33

− 0.33

− 1.00

− 1.00

 ED visits

− 0.16

− 0.01

− 0.01

− 0.03

− 0.03

 Outpatient/physician office

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

 Remote monitoring

0.42

0.42

0.42

0.42

0.42

 SABA use

− 0.11

− 0.11

− 0.11

− 0.11

− 0.11

 Controller medication use

0.00

0.35

Not included

1.04

Not included

Medicare perspective

     

 Budget impact

− 1.70

1.88

0.88

2.83

− 0.15

 Propeller

0.37

0.37

0.37

0.37

0.37

 Hospitalizations

− 2.92

− 0.51

− 0.51

–1.52

− 1.52

 ED Visits

− 0.18

− 0.01

− 0.01

− 0.03

− 0.03

 Outpatient/physician office

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

 Remote monitoring

1.21

1.21

1.21

1.21

1.21

 SABA use

− 0.32

− 0.32

− 0.32

− 0.32

− 0.32

 Controller medication use

0.00

0.99

Not included

2.98

Not included

  1. ED: emergency department; PMPM: per-member per-month; SABA: short-acting beta-agonist
  2. Alternative Scenario 1: PDC for controller medications increased by 0.10 and reductions in inpatient care (5.20%) and ED visits (1.15%) where changes in controller medication costs due to changes in refill persistence either included (1A) or excluded (1B)
  3. Alternative Scenario 2: PDC for controller medications was increased by 0.30 and reductions in inpatient care (15.60%) and ED visits (3.45%) where changes in controller medication costs due to changes in refill persistence either included (2A) or excluded (2B)