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Table 8 Results from the scenario analyses of PHiD-CV vaccination program vs. PCV13 in Taiwan

From: Cost-effectiveness evaluation of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine for children in Taiwan

Parameter

Base-case

Scenario analysis

Cost (millions)

QALY

ICER

Efficacy of PHiD-CV against 19A IPD

71%

19%

− 5.9

14

Dominant (cost saving)

Efficacy of PCV13 against ST3 IPD

0%

26%

− 8.8

21

Dominant (cost saving)

AOM inpatient IR reduced by 50% (2–9 years old) [per 100,000]

1 year: 1011.3; 2 year: 1026.1; 3 year: 826.2 4 year: 795.8; 5 year: 245.8

1 year: 505.7; 2 year: 513; 3 year: 413.1; 4 year: 397.9; 5 year: 122.9

− 4.8

20

Dominant (cost saving)

% of AOM cases caused by S. pneumoniae vs. NTHi

35.9 (S. pneumoniae); 32.3 (NTHi) [55]

55.7 (S. pneumoniae); 22.9 (NTHi) [59]

− 1.2

5

Dominant (cost saving)

Efficacy against pneumonia

PHiD-CV: 23.4%

PHiD-CV: 23.4%

− 9.3

22

Dominant (cost saving)

PCV13: 23.7%

PCV13: 23.4%

Efficacy of PCV13 against NTHi AOM reduced to −11%

0%

−11%

− 19.6

39

Dominant (cost saving)

Efficacy of PHiD-CV against NTHi AOM reduced to 0

21.5%

0%

5.5

− 12

Dominated

Time horizon

10 years

Life time

− 8.8

16

Dominant (cost saving)

Price of vaccines (for illustration only)

Both priced at 1269.5 NTD/dose

PHiD-CV reduced by 10% (1142.5 NTD/dose)

− 90.4

21

Dominant (cost saving)

  1. *base-case result: dominant/cost-saving (− 8.8 million NTD with QALYs gain of 21)
  2. IR incidence rate, AOM acute otitis media, ICER incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, PCV13 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, PHiD-CV 10-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide and NTHi protein D conjugate vaccine, NTD new Taiwan dollar, S. pneumoniae Streptococcus pneumoniae, ST serotype, VT vaccine type, QALY quality-adjusted life year, yr year