Probability | Mean | SD | Distribution in PSA | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Graft failure: KT from a deceased donor | Years 1 − 3: 0.063 | 0.006 | Beta | Canadian Organ Replacement Register |
Years 4 − 5: 0.113 | 0.011 | Beta | ||
Years 6 − 9: 0.168 | 0.017 | Beta | ||
Years 10 + : 0.318 | 0.032 | Beta | ||
Graft failure: KT from a living donor | Years 1 − 3: 0.028 | 0.003 | Beta | Canadian Organ Replacement Register |
Years 4 − 5: 0.058 | 0.006 | Beta | ||
Years 6 − 9: 0.095 | 0.009 | Beta | ||
Years 10 + : 0.226 | 0.023 | Beta | ||
Deceased donor KT | Year 1: 0.156 | 0.016 | Beta | Estimateda |
Year 2: 0.230 | 0.023 | Beta | Â | |
Year 3: 0.278 | 0.028 | Beta | Â | |
Year 4: 0.314 | 0.031 | Beta | Â | |
Year 5: 0.335 | 0.034 | Beta | Â | |
Year 6: 0.364 | 0.036 | Beta | Â | |
Year 7: 0.378 | 0.038 | Beta | Â | |
Year 8: 0.402 | 0.040 | Beta | Â | |
Year 9: 0.411 | 0.041 | Beta | Â | |
Years 10 + : 0.441 | 0.044 | Beta |  | |
Death on hemodialysis | Years 1 − 3: 0.178 | 0.018 | Beta | Canadian Organ Replacement Register |
Years 4 − 5: 0.335 | 0.034 | Beta | ||
Years 6 − 9: 0.446 | 0.045 | Beta | ||
Years 10 + : 0.581 | 0.058 | Beta | ||
Death on peritoneal dialysis | Years 1 − 3: 0.075 | 0.008 | Beta | Canadian Organ Replacement Register |
Years 4 − 5: 0.248 | 0.025 | Beta | ||
Years 6 − 9: 0.380 | 0.038 | Beta | ||
Years 10 + : 0.556 | 0.056 | Beta | ||
Death after graft failure | Year 1: 0.121 | 0.012 | Beta | Kabani et al. |
Year 2: 0.060 | 0.006 | Beta | Â | |
Year 3 + : 0.05 | 0.005 | Beta |  | |
Death after KT | Year 1: 0.036 | 0.004 | Beta | Canadian Organ Replacement Register |
Year 2: 0.058 | 0.006 | Beta | ||
Year 3: 0.076 | 0.008 | Beta | ||
Year 4: 0.099 | 0.009 | Beta | ||
Years 5 + : 0.121 | 0.012 | Beta |
Probability | Mean | SD | Distribution in PSA | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-emptive KT | 0.024 | 0.002 | Beta | Estimateda |
Hemodialysis | 0.656 | 0.066 | Beta | Estimateda |
Peritoneal dialysis | 0.125 | 0.013 | Beta | Estimateda |
Living donor KT | 0.19 | 0.019 | Beta | Estimateda |
Reduced risk of death: pre-emptive KT | 0.69 | 0.069 | lognormal | Kabani et al. |
Reduced risk of graft failure: pre-emptive KT | 0.73 | 0.073 | lognormal | Kabani et al. |