Parameter | Base case | Variability rangea | Probability distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Clinical, efficacy and epidemiological parameters | ||||
Baseline mean age of HF patients entering model | 66 | 61 to 69 | Normal | Weighted mean based on heart failure registries in Argentina |
Baseline risk of HF hospital admission | 1.13 | 0.68 to 1.55 | Beta | Author estimations based on 21, 35, 36 |
HR of HF hospital admission, CardioMEMS cohort | 0.48 | 0.38 to 0.67 | Log normal | Meta-analysis based on 21, 35, 36 |
Baseline risk of mortality at 12 month of follow-up | 0.16 | 0.14 to 0.18 | Beta | 35 |
HR of risk of mortality due to HF hospital admission | 3.32 | 1.00 to 5.00 | Log normal | 51 |
Complications, treatment cohort (1–7 month) | 0.03 | 0.02 to 0.04 | Beta | 49 |
Mortality due to device implantation procedure (1–7 month) | 0.004 | 0.003 to 0.005 | Beta | 49 |
Utility parameters | ||||
Baseline utility | 0.711 | 0.027 | Beta | 21 |
Monthly change of utility for month 1 to 6, treatment cohort | 0.001 | 0.001 | Beta | 21 |
Monthly change of utility for month 7 to 60, treatment cohort | 0.003 | 0.003 | Beta | 21 |
Monthly change of utility for month 1 to 6, control cohort | −0.005 | 0.004 | Beta | 21 |
Monthly change of utility for month 7 to 60, control cohort | −0.003 | 0.003 | Beta | 21 |
Disutility of HF hospital admission | 0.045 | 0.012 | Beta | 28 |
Costs parameters, in ARS | ||||
Cost of CardioMEMS device | 1,392,182 | 1,044,137 to 1,740,228 | Normal | Abbott |
Implant procedure | SS: 100,878 PS: 137,090 | SS: 75,659 to 126,098 PS: 102,818 to 171,363 | Normal | 56 |
Weighted average cost of device complicationsb | SS: 144,482 PS: 193,445 | SS: 108,362 to 180,603 PS: 145,084 to 227,954 | Normal | 56 |
Monthly device monitoring cost | SS: 973 PS: 1,502 | SS: 730 to 1,217 PS: 1,126 to 1,877 | Normal | 56 |
Standard HF care cost | SS: 4,512 PS: 5,440 | SS: 3,384 to 5,641 PS: 4,080 to 6,800 | Normal | 56 |
Hospital admission for HF cost | SS: 362,788 PS: 534,983 | SS: 272,091 to 453,485 PS: 401,237 to 655,753 | Normal | 56–58 |