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Table 1 Weekly transition probability estimates (%) by the experts (mean values)

From: Using informative prior based on expert opinion in Bayesian estimation of the transition probability matrix in Markov modelling—an example from the cost-effectiveness analysis of the treatment of patients with predominantly negative symptoms of schizophrenia with cariprazine

From [row] / to [col]

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1

82.39

5.42

4.81

2.00

1.56

1.40

1.54

0.88

2

8.12

49.90

14.46

12.49

5.05

3.73

3.17

3.07

3

3.96

19.54

42.86

16.14

6.29

3.78

5.27

2.16

4

3.65

10.65

6.07

52.76

9.59

10.34

3.90

3.05

5

2.03

3.73

5.09

5.03

58.51

16.05

6.61

2.96

6

1.99

3.00

5.03

5.48

16.97

54.31

8.39

4.83

7

1.50

2.38

4.87

3.48

23.14

13.28

45.90

5.46

8

2.26

2.46

4.49

7.06

9.63

20.61

7.43

46.06

  1. This data by expert have already been published in the appendix of our paper presenting the cost effectiveness study [9]. The probabilities add up to 100% by row. The minor differences in the second digit after the comma are because of rounding
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Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation

ISSN: 1478-7547

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