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Table 1 Model transition probabilities [30]

From: Improving access to antiretrovirals in China: economic analyses of dolutegravir in HIV-1 patients

 

DTG + TDF/3TC

EFV + TDF/3TCa

LPV/r + TDF/3TCb

Virology suppression

 First 11 months

16.3%a/15.1%b

12.4%

10.4%

 Month 12–22

0.2%

0.1%

0.1%

 After month 22

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Discontinuation due to failure (first line)

 First 11 months

0.46%a/0.17%b

0.86%

0.60%

 Month 12–22

0.10%a/0.05%b

0.08%

0.04%

 After month 22

0.05%a/0.02%b

0.06%

0.04%

Discontinuation with other cause (first line)

 First 11 months

0.55%a/0.63%b

0.62%

0.91%

 Month 12–22

0.12%a/0.18%b

0.06%

0.06%

 After month 22

0.06%a/0.08%b

0.04%

0.06%

Discontinuation (second line plus)

 First 11 months

1.03%

1.54%

1.54%

 Month 12–22

0.23%

0.10%

0.10%

 After month 22

0.10%

0.10%

0.10%

CD4+ increase

 First 11 months

20.29

16.42

15.46

 Month 12–22

2.51

0.56

0.56

 After month 22

− 2.32

− 2.32

− 2.32

  1. aTreatment-naïve setting
  2. bFirst-line failure setting