Parameter | Value | Range | Distribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Low | High | |||
Monthly transition probabilities between states A–D under RMTAC + UC | ||||
 A → B | 0.122 | 0.03365 | 0.35673 | Dirichlet |
 A → C | 0.152 | 0.04763 | 0.39112 | Dirichlet |
 A → D | 0.030 | 0.00304 | 0.23896 | Dirichlet |
 B → A | 0.382 | 0.18072 | 0.63454 | Dirichlet |
 B → C | 0.032 | 0.00306 | 0.26248 | Dirichlet |
 B → D | 0.058 | 0.00895 | 0.29784 | Dirichlet |
 C → A | 0.184 | 0.08224 | 0.36201 | Dirichlet |
 C → B | 0.008 | 0.00042 | 0.13430 | Dirichlet |
 C → D | 0.043 | 0.00867 | 0.18760 | Dirichlet |
 D → A | 0.088 | 0.01812 | 0.33530 | Dirichlet |
 D → B | 0.051 | 0.00708 | 0.28827 | Dirichlet |
 D → C | 0.088 | 0.01812 | 0.33530 | Dirichlet |
Effectiveness factor | ||||
 Asthma control | OR 3.059 | 1.632 | 5.733 | Log normal |
 Medication adherence | OR 1.89 | 1.08 | 3.30 | Log normal |
Monthly probabilities of low adherence level patient to have an exacerbation | ||||
 B → E | 0.09273 | 0.07489 | 0.11021 | Beta |
 B → F | 0.00412 | 0.00330 | 0.00495 | Beta |
 D → E | 0.23237 | 0.19068 | 0.27191 | Beta |
 D → F | 0.05390 | 0.04335 | 0.06432 | Beta |
Risks of high adherence level patient to have an exacerbation | ||||
 A → E | HR 0.72 | 0.34 | 1.51 | Log normal |
 A → F | HR 0.72 | 0.34 | 1.51 | Log normal |
 C → E | HR 0.59 | 0.37 | 0.95 | Log normal |
 C → F | HR 0.59 | 0.37 | 0.95 | Log normal |
Monthly probabilities of having good/poor asthma control after an exacerbation | ||||
 E → A | 0.02528 | 0.01962 | 0.03132 | Beta |
 E → C | 0.10484 | 0.07127 | 0.16332 | Beta |
 F → A | 0.02394 | 0.01862 | 0.02961 | Beta |
 F → C | 0.10738 | 0.07261 | 0.16990 | Beta |
Monthly probabilities of having an exacerbation after a recent exacerbation | ||||
 E → F | 0.047 | 0.0376 | 0.0564 | Beta |
 F → E | 0.047 | 0.0376 | 0.0564 | Beta |
Monthly probability of mortality after an exacerbation that does not involve hospitalization | ||||
 E → G | 0.000059 | 0.000048 | 0.000071 | Beta |
Utilities input for base case analysis | ||||
 A | 0.5583 | 0.4435 | 0.6731 | Beta |
 B | 0.5583 | 0.4435 | 0.6731 | Beta |
 C | 0.5316 | 0.3788 | 0.6844 | Beta |
 D | 0.5316 | 0.3788 | 0.6844 | Beta |
 E | 0.5311 | 0.4254 | 0.6368 | Beta |
 F | 0.3842 | 0.2882 | 0.4802 | Beta |
Utilities input for PSA | ||||
 A | 0.5598 | 0.4588 | 0.6608 | Beta |
 B | 0.5598 | 0.4588 | 0.6608 | Beta |
 C | 0.5316 | 0.3788 | 0.6844 | Beta |
 D | 0.5316 | 0.3788 | 0.6844 | Beta |
 E | 0.4514 | 0.3589 | 0.5439 | Beta |
 F | 0.2919 | 0.2091 | 0.3747 | Beta |
Monthly direct cost ($)* | ||||
 A (maintenance) | 38.78 | 33.77 | 43.78 | Gamma |
 B (maintenance) | 39.70 | 34.70 | 44.71 | Gamma |
 C (maintenance) | 42.48 | 37.46 | 47.50 | Gamma |
 D (maintenance) | 38.67 | 35.62 | 45.64 | Gamma |
 E (ED management) | 13.50 | 12.53 | 14.46 | Log normal |
 F (hospitalization) | 552.13 | 468.03 | 636.23 | Gamma |
 RMTAC recruitment (cycle 0) | 12.38 | 9.30 | 15.48 | Gamma |
 RMTAC 3 monthly follow-up (cycle 1–15) | 2.23 | 1.91 | 2.54 | Gamma |
 RMTAC biannual follow-up (cycle 16 and above) | 1.11 | 0.96 | 1.27 | Gamma |