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Table 3 Results of sensitivity analyses

From: Estimating outcomes and cost effectiveness using a single-arm clinical trial: ofatumumab for double-refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Treatment

Total costs

Life years

QALYs

Incremental costs

Incremental life years

Incremental QALYs

Cost per life year gained

Cost per QALY gained

Base case results

 Best supportive care

£4756

0.877

0.469

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,186

0.617

0.301

£63,542

£130,563

Sensitivity analysis: utility values set to ‘following first-line treatment’ (progression-free survival 0.777 & post-progression 0.540)

 Best supportive care

£4756

0.877

0.551

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,186

0.617

0.219

£63,542

£112,067

Sensitivity analysis: utility values set to ‘following final treatment’ (progression-free survival 0.428 & post-progression 0.279)

 Best supportive care

£4756

0.877

0.294

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,186

0.617

0.476

£63,542

£211,918

Sensitivity analysis: independent curve fit used for control arm

 Best supportive care

£4884

0.952

0.497

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,058

0.542

0.273

£72,080

£143,402

Sensitivity analysis: alternative Cox regression including 17p and 11q chromosomal deletions

 Best supportive care

£4876

0.945

0.501

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,066

0.550

0.269

£71,076

£145,524

Sensitivity analysis: hazard rate on best supportive care increased by 20%

 Best supportive care

£4524

0.748

0.405

 Ofatumumab

£43,942

1.494

0.770

£39,419

0.746

0.365

£52,837

£108,205

Sensitivity analysis: ofatumumab administration time doubled

 Best supportive care

£4756

0.945

0.405

 Ofatumumab

£45,694

1.494

0.770

£40,938

0.617

0.301

£66,383

£136,399

  1. QALY quality-adjusted life year, costs and QALYs discounted at 3.5%, ICER incremental cost effectiveness ratio