Table 2 Summary measure of goodness of fit for the predicted endpoints obtained from the Cardiff Diabetes Model
From: Validation of the UKPDS 82 risk equations within the Cardiff Diabetes Model
UKPDS 68 | UKPDS 82 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
MAPE (%) | R2 | MAPE (%) | R2 | |
Study | ||||
ACCORD | 170.88 | 0.69 | 50.06 | 0.73 |
ADDITION | 69.83 | 0.68 | 89.90 | 0.67 |
ADVANCE | 23.13 | 0.99 | 38.91 | 0.99 |
ASCOT | 17.36 | 0.94 | 20.42 | 0.96 |
ASPEN | 19.06 | 0.86 | 24.66 | 0.81 |
CARDS | 39.84 | 0.39 | 32.12 | 0.69 |
Look-AHEAD | 27.16 | 0.88 | 29.94 | 075 |
SAVOR | 8.65 | 0.96 | 22.68 | 0.79 |
UKPDS 33 | 43.87 | 0.83 | 48.63 | 0.95 |
UKPDS 80 | 28.67 | 0.89 | 26.75 | 0.98 |
VADT | 39.62 | 0.50 | 31.05 | 0.47 |
Endpoint | ||||
MI | 41.80 | 0.93 | 43.68 | 0.85 |
Stroke | 28.05 | 0.95 | 29.35 | 0.85 |
CHF | 38.09 | 0.77 | 50.05 | 0.68 |
ACM | 27.36 | 0.78 | 30.35 | 0.85 |
Amputation | 48.31 | 0.87 | 48.49 | 0.56 |
Blindness | 23.40 | 0.92 | 20.31 | 0.96 |
ESRD | 278.20 | 0.78 | 88.11 | 0.66 |
MVD | 52.58 | NA | 35.59 | NA |