Average incremental vaccination costs per year (€, PV) | Average savings in treatment costs per year (€, PV) | Average incremental cost per year (€, PV) | Average LYG (PV) | Average QALYs gained (PV) | ICER (€/LYG) | ICER (€/QALY) | Average number of cases avoided per year | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vaccinations of girls vs. screening alone: | ||||||||
Base case result* | 11,504,613 | 9,480,325 | 2,024,288 | 528.5 | 565.3 | 3,830 | 3,581 | |
Cervical cancer | 197 | |||||||
Anogenital cancer | 80 | |||||||
Head and neck cancer | 43 | |||||||
Univariate sensitivity analysis: | ||||||||
Discount rate 0% | 11,504,613 | 19,622,317 | - 8,117,704 | 1,706.5 | 1,645.5 | Dominance | Dominance | |
Discount rate 5% | 11,504,613 | 6,603,582 | 4,901,031 | 265.3 | 312.5 | 18,476 | 15,682 | |
Costs discounted with 3% and LYG & QALYs with 0% | 11,504,613 | 9,480,325 | 2,024,288 | 1,706.5 | 1,645.5 | 1,186 | 1,230 | |
Vaccine price reduced by 25% | 8,967,267 | 9,480,325 | −513,058 | 528.5 | 565.3 | Dominance | Dominance | |
2-dose regime | 8,121,485 | 9,480,325 | −1,358,840 | 528.5 | 565.3 | Dominance | Dominance | |
Treatment cost reduced by 25% | 11,504,613 | 7,055,464 | 4,449,149 | 528.5 | 565.3 | 8,418 | 7,870 | |
Time horizon 40 years | 11,504,613 | 8,450,127 | 3,054,486 | 425.2 | 472.2 | 7,184 | 6,469 | |
Bivalent HPV vaccination (HPV types 16 & 18) | 11,504,613 | 5,269,690 | 6,234,923 | 528.5 | 505.1 | 11,797 | 12,345 | |
Protection against head and neck cancer excluded: | 11,504,613 | 9,159,308 | 2,345,305 | 432.1 | 470.4 | 5,428 | 4,985 | |
70% vaccination rate | 9,474,387 | 9,320,914 | 153,473 | 489.2 | 551.9 | 314 | 278 | |
Cervical cancer | 192 | |||||||
Anogenital cancer | 77 | |||||||
Head and neck cancer | 42 | |||||||
Vaccination of girls & boys vs. girls: | ||||||||
Base case result** | 11,858,601 | 1,186,760 | 10,671,841 | 263 | 256 | 40,615 | 41,636 | |
Cervical cancer | 5 | |||||||
Anogenital cancer | 34 | |||||||
Head and neck cancer | 98 | |||||||
Univariate sensitivity analysis: | ||||||||
Discount rate 0% | 11,858,601 | 4,298,652 | 7,559,950 | 889 | 863 | 8,500 | 8,763 | |
Discount rate 5% | 11,858,601 | 587,457 | 11,271,144 | 124 | 122 | 90,704 | 92,015 | |
Vaccine price reduced by 25% | 9,243,183 | 1,186,760 | 8,056,423 | 263 | 256 | 30,661 | 31,432 | |
2-dose regime | 8,371,377 | 1,186,760 | 7,184,617 | 263 | 256 | 27,343 | 28,031 | |
Time horizon 40 years | 11,858,601 | 1,194,383 | 10,664,218 | 239 | 225 | 44,674 | 47,342 | |
Protection against head and neck cancer excluded | 1,858,601 | 459,212 | 11,399,389 | 42 | 41 | 269,857 | 276,642 | |
70% vaccination rate | 9,765,907 | 1,281,863 | 8,484,044 | 301 | 268 | 28,146 | 31,615 |