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Table 4 Chosen distributions for model input parameters

From: Estimating the cost-effectiveness of lifestyle intervention programmes to prevent diabetes based on an example from Germany: Markov modelling

Parameter1

Deterministic value

Standard Error

Distribution

Alpha

Beta

Ngt2igt

0.163

0.037

Beta

16.28

83.72

Igt2ngt

0.162

0.037

Beta

16.23

83.77

Igt2t2d

0.062

0.024

Beta

6.23

93.77

T2d2igt

0.005

0.007

Beta

0.50

99.50

cNGT

EUR1,744.21.00

EUR1,744.21

Gamma

1.00

1744.21

cIGT

EUR2,696.48

EUR2,696.48

Gamma

1.00

2696.48

cT2D

EUR 5,896.48

EUR5,861.92

Gamma

1.00

5861.92

Cost of intervention

EUR230.03

EUR230.03

Gamma

1.00

230.03

 

Mean

 

Methods of moments

  

uNGT, men

0.772

0.004

Beta

7067.38

2087.26

uNGT, women

0.747

0.004

Beta

7342.67

2486.87

uIGT, men

0.764

0.006

Beta

3458.69

1066.73

uIGT, women

0.740

0.006

Beta

3578.37

1260.34

uT2D, men

0.724

0.010

Beta

1400.32

533.82

uT2D, women

0.701

0.010

Beta

1422.19

606.61

  1. 1ngt2igt: probability of moving from NGT to IGT state
  2. igt2ngt: probability of moving from IGT to NGT state
  3. igt2t2d: probability of moving from IGT to T2D state
  4. t2d2igt: probability of moving from T2D to IGT state
  5. cNGT: annual health care costs for NGT
  6. cIGT: annual health care costs for IGT
  7. cT2D: annual health care costs for T2D
  8. uNGT: health utility value for NGT
  9. uIGT: health utility value for IGT
  10. uT2D: health utility value for T2D