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Table 2 Estimates for the disability-stratified stroke-simulation model

From: Lifetime health effects and medical costs of integrated stroke services - a non-randomized controlled cluster-trial based life table approach

Parameter

Unit

Data source

Value*

Epidemiological measure:

   

Age distribution incident strokes

Rate

Jager [34]

8.46

All cause mortality

Rate

Statistics Netherlands [35]

33.0

Stroke mortality

Rate

 

1.9

Cardiovascular mortality

Rate

 

8.4

Death from stroke

Ratio

Herman [36]/Bamford [37]

0.21

Recurrent after mRS 0-3

Relative risk

Hoogen [38]/Dennis [39]/Dutch TIA Trial [40]

 

   first year

< 75 years

  

0.09

 

> 75 years

   

   subsequent years

   

0.05

Late death from mRS 4-5

Ratio

Howard [41, 42]

0.15

Death from cardiac disease

after mRS 0-3 stroke

Relative risk

Dutch TIA Trial[40]/Howard [41, 42]

0.038

 

after mRS 4-5 stroke

Relative risk

Howard [41, 42]

0.06

Utility weights for stroke disability categories

-

EDISSE data [14]

0-1

Disability after stroke (first-ever and recurrent)

mRS

 

1-5

Hazard ratios:

   

Excess cardiovascular death

mRS 0-1:mRS 2-3

Hazard ratio

LiLAC study Group [18]

1.25†

 

mRS 4:mRS 5

Hazard ratio

 

1.25

Recurrent stroke

mRS 0-1:mRS 2-3

Hazard ratio

 

1.34

 

mRS 4:mRS 5

Hazard ratio

 

1.34

  1. Note: * number per 1,000 or probability for men aged 70-75. † The ratio reported in the Lilac study concerned all vascular events. We assume that the hazard ratio is equal for both cardiovascular event and other vascular events.