Skip to main content

Table 4 Sensitivity analysis: cost per life saved for different values of model parameters

From: Cost effectiveness of community-based therapeutic care for children with severe acute malnutrition in Zambia: decision tree model

  Parameter values Incremental cost effectiveness ratio ($ per life saved)
  Base Minus 50% Plus 50% Low High Range
Outcome probabilities       
Death rate within a year without CTC HIV- * 0.18 0.09** 0.27 17502** 927 16576
Relative risk of death if HIV+, no CTC * 2 1 3 2300 1426 874
Refer to hospital from CTC 0.059 0.030 0.089 1479 2100 622
Death within a year if recover with CTC 0.0364 0.0182 0.0546 1520 2091 571
HIV prevalence* 0.15 0.075 0.225 1994 1575 419
Death during CTC 0.026 0.013 0.039 1586 1978 392
Death rate in hospital 0.37 0.185 0.555 1608 1944 337
Death rate among defaulters 0.045 0.022 0.067 1703 1821 118
Default from CTC 0.173 0.087 0.260 1721 1802 82
Costs       
Weeks of CTC – Recovered 6.6 3.3 9.9 1419 2101 682
RUTF per Kg ($) 6.20 3.10 9.30 1445 2075 630
Mean Kg of RUTF per child per week 1.90 0.95 2.85 1445 2075 630
Valid cost per child ($) 68.69 34 103 1462 2058 597
Hospital cost per day ($) 41.35 20.68 62.03 1612 1908 297
Days in hospital 14 7 21 1612 1908 297
Costs per health centre visit ($) 4.24 2.12 6.36 1647 1873 227
Weeks of CTC – Defaulted 5.1 2.6 7.7 1699 1821 123
Weeks of CTC – Referred 4.8 2.4 7.2 1740 1780 39
Weeks of CTC – Died 3.6 1.8 5.4 1754 1767 13
Community mobilisation per child $ 1.06 0.5 1.6 1755 1765 9
  1. * CTC is more cost effective if these parameters are greater.
  2. ** note higher mortality with CTC than with no care