Parameter | Mean | Standard error* | Source and comments |
---|---|---|---|
Outcomes | |||
Do nothing option | |||
Mortality without CTC (HIV-) | 0.18 | 0.045 | |
Relative risk of death with HIV, no CTC | 2.0 | 0.5 | [18] SE assumed |
Prevalence of HIV in under fives | 0.15 | 0.0375 | |
CTC option | |||
Death rate during CTC | 0.026 | 0.0032 | Programme data. |
Proportion defaulting from CTC | 0.172 | 0.0075 | Programme data. |
Death rate in defaulters from CTC | 0.058 | 0.029 | Assumed. SE set so 95% CI is +/- 100% of mean |
Hospital referral rate from CTC | 0.059 | 0.0047 | Programme data. |
Death rate in hospital | 0.37 | 0.093 | UTH data. SE assumed |
Mortality within a year of recovery | 0.0364 | 0.0091 | [19] |
Expected DALYs if child recovers | 33.3 | NA | [5] |
Costs (CTC option only) | |||
No. weeks of CTC – recovered | 6.6 | 1.6 | Programme data. |
No. weeks of CTC – referred | 4.8 | 1.1 | Programme data. |
No. weeks of CTC – died | 3.6 | 1.6 | Programme data. |
No. weeks of CTC – defaulted | 5.1 | 1.5 | Programme data. |
Cost per health centre visit | $4.24 | $1.06 | LDMHT. SE assumed. |
Cost per kg of RUTF | $6.10 | $1.53 | Valid International. SE assumed. |
Kg of RUTF per week per child | 1.90 | 0.016 | Programme data. |
Cost of community mobilisation per child | $1.06 | $0.27 | LDMHT. SE assumed |
Valid cost per child | $68.69 | $17.17 | Valid International. SE assumed. |
Cost per day in hospital | $41.35 | $10.34 | [24] SE assumed. |
Days in hospital | 14 | 3.5 | UTH data. SE assumed. |