From: System dynamics model of cervical cancer vaccination and screening interventions in Kenya
Year | Age group | Projected population | Simulated population | Error of estimation |
---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 0-4 | 3345 | 3045 | -9.0% |
2015 | 0-4 | 3584 | 2635 | -26.5% |
2020 | 0-4 | 3792 | 2959 | -22.0% |
2025 | 0-4 | 4024 | 3322 | -17.4% |
2030 | 0-4 | 4315 | 3720 | -13.8% |
2035 | 0-4 | 4606 | 4156 | -9.8% |
2040 | 0-4 | 4849 | 4634 | -4.4% |
2045 | 0-4 | 5029 | 5162 | 2.7% |
2050 | 0-4 | 5183 | 5747 | 10.9% |
2055 | 0-4 | 5290 | 6396 | 20.9% |
2060 | 0-4 | 5396 | 7117 | 31.9% |
2010 | 5-9 | 2887 | 2859 | -1.0% |
2015 | 5-9 | 3276 | 3238 | -1.2% |
2020 | 5-9 | 3525 | 3222 | -8.6% |
2025 | 5-9 | 3742 | 3472 | -7.2% |
2030 | 5-9 | 3981 | 3845 | -3.4% |
2035 | 5-9 | 4277 | 4288 | 0.3% |
2040 | 5-9 | 4573 | 4787 | 4.7% |
2045 | 5-9 | 4821 | 5339 | 10.8% |
2050 | 5-9 | 5004 | 5949 | 18.9% |
2055 | 5-9 | 5159 | 6625 | 28.4% |
2060 | 5-9 | 5266 | 7374 | 40.0% |
2010 | 10-14 | 2421 | 2421 | 0.0% |
2015 | 10-14 | 2855 | 2880 | 0.9% |
2020 | 10-14 | 3250 | 3063 | -5.8% |
2025 | 10-14 | 3505 | 3224 | -8.0% |
2030 | 10-14 | 3724 | 3488 | -6.3% |
2035 | 10-14 | 3965 | 3847 | -3.0% |
2040 | 10-14 | 4263 | 4278 | 0.3% |
2045 | 10-14 | 4560 | 4768 | 4.6% |
2050 | 10-14 | 4809 | 5314 | 10.5% |
2055 | 10-14 | 4992 | 5921 | 18.6% |
2060 | 10-14 | 5148 | 6593 | 28.1% |
2010 | 15-24 | 4204 | 4204 | 0.0% |
2015 | 15-24 | 4509 | 4607 | 2.2% |
2020 | 15-24 | 5192 | 5108 | -1.6% |
2025 | 15-24 | 6026 | 5523 | -8.4% |
2030 | 15-24 | 6684 | 5938 | -11.2% |
2035 | 15-24 | 7163 | 6435 | -10.2% |
2040 | 15-24 | 7628 | 7045 | -7.6% |
2045 | 15-24 | 8171 | 7773 | -4.9% |
2050 | 15-24 | 8770 | 8618 | -1.7% |
2055 | 15-24 | 9316 | 9577 | 2.8% |
2060 | 15-24 | 9750 | 10653 | 9.3% |
2010 | 25-44 | 5041 | 4929 | -2.2% |
2015 | 25-44 | 6129 | 5726 | -6.6% |
2020 | 25-44 | 7057 | 6551 | -7.2% |
2025 | 25-44 | 7911 | 7387 | -6.6% |
2030 | 25-44 | 8879 | 8209 | -7.5% |
2035 | 25-44 | 10018 | 9040 | -9.8% |
2040 | 25-44 | 11348 | 9923 | -12.6% |
2045 | 25-44 | 12663 | 10898 | -13.9% |
2050 | 25-44 | 13802 | 11994 | -13.1% |
2055 | 25-44 | 14850 | 13236 | -10.9% |
2060 | 25-44 | 15936 | 14639 | -8.1% |
2010 | 45-64 | 2013 | 2013 | 0.0% |
2015 | 45-64 | 2376 | 2747 | 15.6% |
2020 | 45-64 | 2822 | 3497 | 23.9% |
2025 | 45-64 | 3471 | 4264 | 22.8% |
2030 | 45-64 | 4349 | 5044 | 16.0% |
2035 | 45-64 | 5352 | 5833 | 9.0% |
2040 | 45-64 | 6228 | 6636 | 6.5% |
2045 | 45-64 | 7070 | 7465 | 5.6% |
2050 | 45-64 | 8033 | 8338 | 3.8% |
2055 | 45-64 | 9167 | 9275 | 1.2% |
2060 | 45-64 | 10479 | 10297 | -1.7% |
2010 | 65+ | 580 | 580 | 0.0% |
2015 | 65+ | 703 | 751 | 6.8% |
2020 | 65+ | 895 | 979 | 9.4% |
2025 | 65+ | 1121 | 1239 | 10.6% |
2030 | 65+ | 1356 | 1520 | 12.1% |
2035 | 65+ | 1617 | 1814 | 12.2% |
2040 | 65+ | 1987 | 2118 | 6.6% |
2045 | 65+ | 2540 | 2432 | -4.2% |
2050 | 65+ | 3283 | 2760 | -15.9% |
2055 | 65+ | 4119 | 3108 | -24.5% |
2060 | 65+ | 4888 | 3483 | -28.7% |