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Table 2 Female population trends by age groups

From: System dynamics model of cervical cancer vaccination and screening interventions in Kenya

Year

Age group

Projected population

Simulated population

Error of estimation

2010

0-4

3345

3045

-9.0%

2015

0-4

3584

2635

-26.5%

2020

0-4

3792

2959

-22.0%

2025

0-4

4024

3322

-17.4%

2030

0-4

4315

3720

-13.8%

2035

0-4

4606

4156

-9.8%

2040

0-4

4849

4634

-4.4%

2045

0-4

5029

5162

2.7%

2050

0-4

5183

5747

10.9%

2055

0-4

5290

6396

20.9%

2060

0-4

5396

7117

31.9%

2010

5-9

2887

2859

-1.0%

2015

5-9

3276

3238

-1.2%

2020

5-9

3525

3222

-8.6%

2025

5-9

3742

3472

-7.2%

2030

5-9

3981

3845

-3.4%

2035

5-9

4277

4288

0.3%

2040

5-9

4573

4787

4.7%

2045

5-9

4821

5339

10.8%

2050

5-9

5004

5949

18.9%

2055

5-9

5159

6625

28.4%

2060

5-9

5266

7374

40.0%

2010

10-14

2421

2421

0.0%

2015

10-14

2855

2880

0.9%

2020

10-14

3250

3063

-5.8%

2025

10-14

3505

3224

-8.0%

2030

10-14

3724

3488

-6.3%

2035

10-14

3965

3847

-3.0%

2040

10-14

4263

4278

0.3%

2045

10-14

4560

4768

4.6%

2050

10-14

4809

5314

10.5%

2055

10-14

4992

5921

18.6%

2060

10-14

5148

6593

28.1%

2010

15-24

4204

4204

0.0%

2015

15-24

4509

4607

2.2%

2020

15-24

5192

5108

-1.6%

2025

15-24

6026

5523

-8.4%

2030

15-24

6684

5938

-11.2%

2035

15-24

7163

6435

-10.2%

2040

15-24

7628

7045

-7.6%

2045

15-24

8171

7773

-4.9%

2050

15-24

8770

8618

-1.7%

2055

15-24

9316

9577

2.8%

2060

15-24

9750

10653

9.3%

2010

25-44

5041

4929

-2.2%

2015

25-44

6129

5726

-6.6%

2020

25-44

7057

6551

-7.2%

2025

25-44

7911

7387

-6.6%

2030

25-44

8879

8209

-7.5%

2035

25-44

10018

9040

-9.8%

2040

25-44

11348

9923

-12.6%

2045

25-44

12663

10898

-13.9%

2050

25-44

13802

11994

-13.1%

2055

25-44

14850

13236

-10.9%

2060

25-44

15936

14639

-8.1%

2010

45-64

2013

2013

0.0%

2015

45-64

2376

2747

15.6%

2020

45-64

2822

3497

23.9%

2025

45-64

3471

4264

22.8%

2030

45-64

4349

5044

16.0%

2035

45-64

5352

5833

9.0%

2040

45-64

6228

6636

6.5%

2045

45-64

7070

7465

5.6%

2050

45-64

8033

8338

3.8%

2055

45-64

9167

9275

1.2%

2060

45-64

10479

10297

-1.7%

2010

65+

580

580

0.0%

2015

65+

703

751

6.8%

2020

65+

895

979

9.4%

2025

65+

1121

1239

10.6%

2030

65+

1356

1520

12.1%

2035

65+

1617

1814

12.2%

2040

65+

1987

2118

6.6%

2045

65+

2540

2432

-4.2%

2050

65+

3283

2760

-15.9%

2055

65+

4119

3108

-24.5%

2060

65+

4888

3483

-28.7%