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Table 4 10,000 times Monte Carlo simulation results and a deterministic result of cost and effectiveness

From: Comparing the cost effectiveness of harm reduction strategies: a case study of the Ukraine

Infection averted

 

Monte Carlo Simulation

Deterministic

  

Combined

NSP

OST

Combined

NSP

OST

Cost

 

1,574,559.00

247,108.68

1,206,760.80

1,565,967.17

247,148.20

1,199,134.00

 

Std

580,415.89

67,045.82

419,480.75

   
 

Upper CI(95%)

1,585,935.20

248,422.78

1,214,982.60

   
 

Lower CI(95%)

1,563,182.90

245,794.58

1,198,539.00

   

Effect

 

1,848.76

506.98

1,053.10

1,848.74

506.98

1,053.03

 

Std

6.78

5.33

5.39

   
 

Upper CI(95%)

1,848.89

507.08

1,053.21

   
 

Lower CI(95%)

1,848.63

506.88

1,052.99

   

CE

 

851.68

487.41

1,145.91

847.05

487.49

1,138.75

 

Std

95.06

54.01

128.57

   
 

Upper CI(95%)

853.55

488.47

1,148.43

   
 

Lower CI(95%)

849.82

486.35

1,143.39

   

QALY

       
  

combined

NSP

OST

combined

NSP

OST

Cost

 

1,563,571.10

247,577.10

1,195,319.80

1,565,967.17

247,148.20

1,199,134.00

 

Std

579,705.31

66,864.85

418,960.03

   
 

Upper CI(95%)

1,574,933.30

248,887.65

1,203,531.40

   
 

Lower CI(95%)

1,552,208.90

246,266.55

1,187,108.10

   

Effect

 

4,183.51

2,970.21

2,599.08

4,183.51

2,970.21

2,599.04

 

Std

7.47

5.69

5.71

   
 

Upper CI(95%)

4,183.66

2,970.32

2,599.19

   
 

Lower CI(95%)

4,183.36

2,970.10

2,598.97

   

CE

 

373.75

83.35

459.90

374.32

83.21

461.38

 

Std

95.06

54.01

128.57

   
 

Upper CI (95%)

374.57

83.55

460.93

   
 

Lower CI (95%)

372.92

83.15

458.87