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Table 6 Sensitivity analysis

From: A pilot study to assess feasibility of value based pricing in Cyprus through pharmacoeconomic modelling and assessment of its operational framework: sorafenib for second line renal cell cancer

Parameter

Baseline value

Sensitivity analysis

New price

ICER

Base case

Sorafenib price

1816 (per month)

50% reduction

908

24,190

60,000

TIME HORIZON

10 YEARS

5 YEARS

1860

60,266

60,000

Discounting

3.5

0

2455

45,279

60,000

Discounting

3.5

1.5

2124

51,025

60,000

Discounting

3.5

5

1695

67,203

60,000

QALY

0.76 – 0.68

0,836 0.748

2013

54,738

60,000

QALY

0.76 – 0.68

0.684- 0.612

1711

66,863

60,000

Medical and other pharmaceutical costs

 

Increase 20%

1926

57,407

60,000

Medical and other pharmaceutical costs

 

Decrease 20%

1802

62,282

60,000

Increase of PFS and OS 10%

  

2030

53,300

60,000

Increase of OS 10%

  

1905

58,329

60,000

Increase of PFS 10%

  

1987

55,701

60,000

Decrease of PFS and OS 10%

  

1580

72,374

60,000

Decrease of OS 10%

  

1790

62,695

60,000

Decrease of PFS 10%

  

1655

68,853

60,000